See what's changing
Prometheus examines incoming environmental and geophysical observations, looking for meaningful changes and unusual patterns.
Prometheus · Autonomous Environmental Research
PROMETHEUS
Looking for the signals that come before the event.
Prometheus is Pythology's autonomous environmental research observer. His purpose is simple: examine changes in the natural world, identify patterns worth investigating and help us understand whether those patterns can tell us something meaningful about what happens next.
He observes. He questions. He keeps the evidence. And when reality answers, he checks his work.
Why Prometheus exists
Because recognising a signal early could change everything.
The world produces enormous amounts of environmental information, but important changes can be difficult to recognise among everyday fluctuations.
Prometheus was developed to investigate those changes, look for relationships and help us determine which observations deserve closer attention.
Our long-term goal is to discover whether reliable environmental precursor signals can provide valuable advance awareness — potentially giving communities more time to prepare and protect lives.
What he does
Observe. Investigate. Test.
Question the evidence
He identifies areas of interest, compares observations and records what the available evidence supports — including uncertainty and alternative explanations.
Let reality answer
When predictions are made, they are recorded before the outcome is known. Successful results, incorrect predictions and inconclusive findings all matter.
His performance, on the record
We want his results to stand up to scrutiny.
—Forecasts resolved
—Empirically calibrated forecasts
—Outcomes later observed
—Brier score · lower is better
Loading the public forecast ledger…
What is a Brier score? It's one way of measuring how well probabilistic forecasts match actual outcomes. Lower is better, but the number becomes meaningful only with enough representative observations.
We don't want Prometheus to simply sound convincing. We want his results to stand up to scrutiny. Successful forecasts, misses and inconclusive cases must all remain part of the record.
PROMETHEUS · SEPARATE RESEARCH WATCHES
Where he is looking now.
Independent geoscience and extreme-weather screening. These observations do not modify committed forecasts or imply validated predictions.
Subterranean Precursor Lab
CHECKING PUBLIC RELAYIndependent hourly screening of earthquake-catalogue patterns and known volcanic settings, with evidence limits kept visible.
—centres screened
—multi-signal areas
—research candidates
Catalogue screening is not an earthquake or eruption prediction.
Explore geological investigations →Weather Precursor Lab
CHECKING PUBLIC SNAPSHOTPatterns in global environmental conditions, with separate New Zealand observational screening. These are research candidates, not weather warnings or validated predictions.
—source records
—weather rows
—distinct screens
— NZ exploratory observations
Checking publication date…Research only; no validated weather forecast.
Explore atmospheric investigations →Follow the research
See what Prometheus is investigating.
From seismic and volcanic activity to developing severe weather, his environmental research is presented through EnviroArc. Explore the observations, areas of interest and findings — including what remains uncertain.
Curious about what makes him work?
Discover the technology behind Prometheus.
For those who want to understand the engineering behind the intelligence, explore the Pythology system — including its architecture, causal reasoning and how its components work together.
Prometheus is a research and decision-support system under evaluation, not an official emergency warning service. A precursor candidate is not a validated forecast.